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February 25, 2021 – Breezy north to northeast winds will be subsiding this morning. Mild and dry weather expected Thursday into Friday. Breezy north to east winds return Saturday into Sunday morning. A weather system off the West Coast could bring showers to Northern California next week.

Discussion

Some breezy conditions still occurring early this morning but as the low moves away from the region today winds will become lighter. We should see some warming today over yesterdays highs. Dry northerly flow will persist on Friday as well but some cooler air will be moving into the region, most noticeably over the north and in the mountains.

On Saturday another low pressure area moves into the Great Basin that will result in breezy to windy conditions over the interior once again. A few mountain snow showers may occur near the crest during the day but nothing of any significance with most models keeping anything well east of the crest. Cooler air will continue to move into the region on Saturday continuing the cooling trend.

Breezy conditions may continue into Sunday morning before subsiding. Temperatures will be warmer with a ridge of high pressure building over the region.

Extended discussion (Monday through Thursday)

High temperatures next week will be above normal with values from 65 to 70 degrees for valley locations. Clusters show poor confidence in ensemble guidance solution for early next week with varying trough/cut-off low solutions.

Have kept the low end precipitation chances in line with NBM given the high uncertainty/low confidence forecast for Monday and Tuesday that still exists at this time.