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Posted inRegional

Significant Fire Potential during May from Sacramento Valley westward, expanding to include the middle elevations during June

The Predictive Services 4-month weather outlook for the North Ops region calls for near to above normal temperatures and near to below normal precipitation. Drought conditions are expected to intensify the rest of the spring into the summer months due to the expected weather patterns. Critically dry fuel alignments, between the dead and live fuels, […]

Posted inRegional

Above Normal Significant Fire Potential west of the Cascade-Sierra crest through November

The Predictive Services 4-month outlook for the North Ops region calls for drier and warmer than average weather into November, with only small exceptions, followed by wetter than average conditions in December. Lightning events will be few and brief into October, if they develop at all. A few monsoon thunderstorm patterns developed in CA in […]

Posted inRegional

Significant Fire Potential for the North Ops region is Above Normal – through November

The Predictive Services 4-month outlook for the North Ops region calls for drier and warmer than average weather through November, with only small exceptions. Monsoon thunderstorm surges are expected to occur less often than usual through the end of the summer because low pressure troughing along the coast will prevail more often than usual, and […]

Posted inRegional

Significant Fire Potential above normal for June-August at and above 3,000 ft elevation

The Predictive Services 4-month outlook for the North Ops region calls for drier and warmer than average weather through September. There is some indication of a semi-regular low pressure trough positioned along the west coast much of the summer, which could lead to shorter stretches of intense dry heat. Fuels, both dead and live and […]

Posted inRegional

NorthOps Forecast: Above Normal Significant Fire Potential for most areas below 6000 ft in September

September 3, 2019 – The 4-month Predictive Service outlook calls for warmer and drier than normal conditions in the North Ops region through December. The outlook also calls for more than the usual amount of high pressure ridging in the eastern Pacific, which would lead to more than the typical amount of N-NE/Offshore wind events. […]

Posted inRegional

NortOps Predictive Services: Most areas below 6000 ft have Above Normal Significant Fire Potential in August and September

August 5, 2019 – The 4-month Predictive Service outlook calls for warmer and drier than normal conditions in the North Ops region through November. The high elevation snow pack has led to fairly high soil and fuel moisture values at elevations above 6000 ft, and these areas will likely remain at the lower end of […]

Posted inRegional

NorthOps Predictive Services outlook – above normal potential for large fires in the lower elevations

June 1, 2019 – The majority of the North Ops region received well above average precipitation in May. Only portions of the far northern end of the region were drier than normal. Since January 1st the entire region has received above average precipitation, with a large portion at 150% or more of normal. Average temperatures […]